Karmi's Musings & Tech

Trapped Priors, Bayes’ theorem, Political Blogs vs. TDS & TCS

As I noted in an earlier Post, I’ve come to see the Democratic and Republican parties as a “similar pair.” For over a year, I’ve been closely following political news articles and blogs, paying equal attention to their comment sections. This isn’t my first dive into their similarities, but over the past 4-6 months, this exploration has left me puzzled: why can’t two such apparent political foes see their own parallels—especially in the ways they criticize each other?!

‘Good or bad, our feelings color how we see people’

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MAGA Republican’s still don’t get it!?!

‘Reports of the demise of the Democrat Party: are they premature or not?’ Guess this is sorta like a Part 2 of this previous post here: Democrats & Republicans = ‘Two Peas in the same Pod’. Will even use the main pic again.

Both “Peas” are convinced they’ve got killer messages—while simultaneously dismissing the other’s as “stale.” Both spend endless energy pointing fingers at each other’s flaws, yet after every election win, they strut around claiming a “mandate.” Trump, of course, called his “massive”—though exaggeration’s kinda his thing.

Let’s look at the scoreboard since 1961:

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Yan Petrovsky (AKA Voislav Torden) – convicted *WAR CRIMINAL*

Yan Petrovsky was a commander of the Rusich Group – a Russian far-right and neo-Nazi paramilitary unit. Yan Petrovsky and the Rusich Group have been committing War Crimes since 2014. The Rusich Group has been linked to Russia’s Wagner Group—both with a long history of brutality. Co-founder Alexey Milchakov gained notoriety for publishing images of animal cruelty and openly celebrating war crimes.

Finland sentences Russian neo-Nazi mercenary Yan Petrovsky to life for war crimes in Ukraine:

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Anthropogenic Climate Change vs Natural Climate Change

How many scientists here have heard of the Ice Ages? Raise your hands. Thank you.

An ice age is a long period of reduction in the temperature of Earth’s surface and atmosphere, resulting in the presence or expansion of continental and polar ice sheets and alpine glaciers.

If “reduction in the temperature of Earth’s surface and atmosphere” creates an Ice Age – then what melts an Ice Age and/or makes that Ice Age go away?

Earth’s climate alternates between ice ages, and greenhouse periods during which there are no glaciers on the planet.

The oldest known Ice Age was the Huronian, which occurred between 2.4 and 2.1 billion years ago. How many scientists here believe that humans caused the Huronian glaciation to end? Over half of you. OK, over half of you got that one wrong.

The oldest known evidence of hominins—our early human-like ancestors—dates back to around 6-7 million years ago.

Humans weren’t around to melt the Huronian Ice Age, or any of the dozens that followed. I’m no scientist, but even I can spot that gap.

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