Hamas is pinned down in Gaza. Hezbollah is struggling to recover from the pager attack in Lebanon. Bashar al-Assad has been ousted from Syria. The IAEA board has determined, for the first time in 20 years, that Iran is not complying with its nuclear obligations.
Iran has been stalling in nuclear talks with the United States while continuing to pursue a nuclear weapon. Israel, deeming time critical, decided to act against Iran following the IAEA’s finding that Iran was not complying with its nuclear obligations.
Operation “Rising Lion”
Like the pager attack on Hezbollah in Lebanon, Israel had meticulously planned its operation against Iran well in advance. Mossad covertly infiltrated Iran to execute an unprecedented attack, smuggling precision weapons to target Tehran’s defenses from within and luring Iran’s military leaders into a meeting to eliminate them.
News Links to Breaking Story
1) Mossad planted kamikaze drone base near Iranian capital, major covert strike reveals
2) Rare footage shows Mossad deploying precision strike systems inside Iran
3) Israel wipes out strategic Iranian airport in fresh round of strikes
4) UN nuclear watchdog finds Iran in non-compliance with its obligations
Conclusion
Iran’s still posturing with bravado? This after Israel obliterated Iran’s S-300 air defenses on October 26, 2024, and unleashed the crippling “Rising Lion” onslaught starting June 13, 2025.
“Rising Lion” has left Iran reeling, with recovery looking grim. Now, Iran’s bailed on nuclear talks with the US. Could Trump join forces with Israel, maybe even dropping a MOAB to obliterate Iran’s deep nuclear bunkers?
Nobody can predict what Iran’s erratic Ali Khamenei will do next, but I’ll wager the odds of Iran cutting a deal with Trump just jumped to 60%. Israel’s set to hammer Iran for weeks, and Iran’s powerless to stop them. Sooner or later, Khamenei will see that letting the US join the fray spells doom for Iran.